Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2.008593 2.312655 2.641244 3.021986 3.450233 3.916233 4.460883
2024-10-06 1.621013 2.061758 2.579667 3.229615 4.019588 4.944511 6.104966
2024-10-13 1.310754 1.822313 2.469580 3.339945 4.469731 5.875647 7.744914
2024-10-20 1.047362 1.579967 2.300609 3.331131 4.748089 6.606398 9.201873
2024-10-27 0.878706 1.426398 2.212974 3.400000 5.115173 7.467198 10.890885
2024-11-03 0.746419 1.296808 2.131681 3.454455 5.452296 8.301822 12.601989
2024-11-10 0.631592 1.170673 2.031708 3.459264 5.705045 9.024976 14.200670
2024-11-17 0.530198 1.046517 1.913220 3.413549 5.866022 9.614378 15.636083
2024-11-24 0.441986 0.928042 1.784431 3.329825 5.949890 10.082342 16.910335
2024-12-01 0.384181 0.853950 1.719077 3.339974 6.179245 10.784059 18.583088
2024-12-08 0.331323 0.779288 1.640965 3.315537 6.342707 11.385057 20.128387
2024-12-15 0.299125 0.740336 1.622710 3.393963 6.685709 12.297801 22.229386
2024-12-22 0.266105 0.695742 1.591440 3.452127 7.011896 13.229815 24.468254
2024-12-29 0.249108 0.684171 1.625388 3.640675 7.595434 14.650421 27.636745
2025-01-05 0.225903 0.653674 1.615861 3.742056 8.025602 15.834513 30.479585
2025-01-12 0.196275 0.601202 1.551179 3.722552 8.221098 16.611781 32.659693
2025-01-19 0.177001 0.571044 1.531368 3.793890 8.599213 17.745143 35.541782
2025-01-26 0.159223 0.540971 1.507035 3.851698 8.953420 18.855338 38.445732
2025-02-02 0.140674 0.504422 1.461462 3.855990 9.196001 19.767496 41.035188
2025-02-09 0.121863 0.462459 1.395685 3.805228 9.316075 20.448080 43.226611
2025-02-16 0.103870 0.418280 1.316780 3.712883 9.335924 20.929287 45.061520
2025-02-23 0.092456 0.392528 1.282499 3.723956 9.583047 21.878436 47.851631
2025-03-02 0.081110 0.363902 1.235496 3.697016 9.740582 22.652481 50.336815